MEEX MidEast US Election Reax 2
US election reax from Beirut, Tehran, Dubai and Sudan
Story No.: 4065172
Restrictions: No Access BBC Persian/ No access VOA Persian/ManotoTV
Source: AP TELEVISION
Dateline: Various - see script - 9 November 2016
Date: 11/09/2016 04:38 PM
++AP Television is adhering to Iranian law that stipulates all media are banned from providing BBC Persian, VOA Persian or Manoto 1 any coverage from Iran, and under this law if any media violate this ban the Iranian authorities can immediately shut down that organisation in Tehran.++
Beirut, Lebanon - 9 November 2016
1. Wide of traffic in Beirut
2. Maha Yahya, Director of Carnegie Centre walking
3. SOUNDBITE (Arabic) Maha Yahya, Director of Carnegie Centre:
"It's not clear what's going to be the effect of Donald Trump's policy on the Arab region yet. His foreign policy statements were vague throughout the whole campaign. At one point he was talking about going back on the nuclear agreement with Iran. Another time he was expressing his admiration for President Putin and how he is fighting his war in Syria. We can say, perhaps, that his election is going to encourage the dictatorships of the region."
4. Cutaway of Maha Yahya
5. SOUNDBITE (Arabic) Maha Yahya, Director of Carnegie Centre:
"Currently there's no plan for military intervention or support for the Syrian opposition, for example. Still, it's not clear. I think it will be clear when we know who will be the team around him, who he will nominate for Secretary of State and Secretary of Defence - these are the important appointments. All these appointments can give us a signal about the nature of the foreign policy that he will adhere to."
Khartoum, Sudan - 9 November 2016
6. Wide of Al-Hurriya street in Khartoum
7. SOUNDBITE (Arabic) Ebetsam Othman, journalist of Al-Tayar newspaper
"Donald Trump's win, US 45th president, was a surprise for all observers, experts and all those who are interested in the American elections, because he started his campaign as a populist president."
8. Set up Malek Taha, political analyst and managing editor of Ar-Ray Al-Aam:
9. SOUNDBITE (Arabic) Malek Taha, political analyst and managing editor of Ar-Ray Al-Aam
"Trump needs a lot of time and may spend all the time to achieve all the slogans and promises in his programme for the voters."
Dubai, United Arab Emirates - 9 November 2016
10. Wide of man entering Dubai Financial Market (DFM) entrance
11. Interior of DFM
12. Pan right of traders on desk
13. Ticker board with stocks
14. SOUNDBITE (English) Steve Armitage, Managing Partner, UAE Business Solutions:
"The markets themselves, I've been following them the whole day, and the reaction was immediately that they would drop and they were dropping last night, but unlike the Brexit impact, they've actually stabilised already. I think they learned the lesson from the first time, nobody was going to get caught out again like that, so obviously they've done some future proofing."
15. DFM board showing Daily Index Graphic
Tehran, Iran - 9 November 2016
16. Wide of Tehran skyline and traffic
17. Wide of Milad Tower and Tehran skyline
18. SOUNDBITE (Farsi) Shirin Maleki, Tehran resident:
"Surely some political stubbornness will happen between Iran and the US (following Trump's election) and this will be harmful to all the good things that happened with the nuclear deal."
19. Close of hands using computer
20. Mid of Hassan Mohammadi, political analyst
21. SOUNDBITE (Farsi) Hassan Mohammadi, Tehran based political analyst:
"Donald Trump will adopt a policy that will put America first, as he has always emphasised, and this will lead the US towards isolation. Trump's aggressive behaviour will make Europeans and powerful Middle Eastern countries not want to align themselves with the new US government. Therefore America will be unconsciously isolated and Iran will become more powerful and can bargain with Europeans more."
22. Mid of Mohammadi at computer
23. SOUNDBITE (Farsi) Hassan Mohammadi, political analyst:
"Donald Trump has talked about Russia's policies and his good relations with Putin and better ties with Russia. So it seems that the US, under Donald Trump, can coordinate better with Russia and Iran over Syria, and I think Iran and Russia will ultimately win this game, more easily than with a Clinton government in office."
24. Wide of visitors at press exhibition
As the world gets used to the idea of the impending reality of President Trump, people across the Middle East have been voicing their opinions.
Analysts in Tehran predict he will isolate the US, which could make Iran stronger, while in Beirut there were warnings he could encourage dictatorships.
Business as usual on the streets of Beirut. But behind closed doors the talk, as with the rest of the world, is the election of Donald Trump as US President.
Analysts here say it's too soon to predict what impact his appointment will have on the Arab world. But Maha Yahya, Director of the Carnegie Centre, has concerns over his words on foreign policy so far:
"His foreign policy statements were vague throughout the whole campaign. At one point he was talking about going back on the nuclear agreement with Iran. Another time he was expressing his admiration for President Putin and how he is fighting his war in Syria. We can say, perhaps, that his election is going to encourage the dictatorships of the region," she says.
She adds that his choice of team will be key to how his election affects the rest of the world.
In Sudan there were positive reactions to Trump's appointment. Sudan is currently directly affected by the US as a result of the sanctions it imposed on it.
There is hope that Trump could stop these, thus helping the country to recover. However experts remain cautious.
Ebetsam Othman, a journalist at Al-Tayar newspaper described his election as a "surprise" as he began the election as a "populist president", with reference to his celebrity profile.
Meanwhile Malek Taha, political analyst and managing editor of the Ar-Ray Al-Aam publication, pointed to the time it will take to implement all the promises he made during his campaign:
"Trump needs a lot of time and may spend all the time to achieve all the slogans and promises in his programme for the voters," he says.
While predictions pointed to uncertainty the more immediate effect on the Arab markets wasn't as bad as expected.
In Dubai, the financial market remained relatively stable, dropping just 0.84 per cent and closing on 3278.93 points.
The DFM did open initially with a sharp decline at 3219.59 points after closing yesterday at over 3300 points.
But markets rallied throughout the trading hours ending with only a 0.84 per cent change from its close the previous day.
"The reaction was immediately that they would drop and they were dropping last night, but unlike the Brexit impact, they've actually stabilised already. I think they learned the lesson from the first time, nobody was going to get caught out again like that, so obviously they've done some future proofing," says Steve Armitage, Managing Partner, UAE Business Solutions.
In Iran the focus was on an historic nuclear deal made with the US last year. Trump has criticised the deal saying it was not negotiated well enough.
Some citizens say this could mean tension in Iran-US relations.
But Hassan Mohammadi, a Tehran-based political analyst predicts Iran can benefit from Trump's election as his policies will distance the US from European allies and move it toward isolation.
|Subjects:||Presidential elections , 2016 United States presidential election , International relations , Foreign policy , Government and politics , Nuclear proliferation , Journalism , National elections , Elections , United States presidential election , Events , Government policy , Foreign policy , Political issues , Nuclear proliferation , Weapons proliferation , Weapons administration , Military and defense , News media , Media|
|Locations:||Beirut , Dubai , Tehran , United Arab Emirates , Iran , Middle East , Syria , Russia , Sudan , Khartoum , Lebanon , Eastern Europe , Europe , Sudan , North Africa , Africa|