London - 16 September 2019
1. Various exteriors of British Parliament
2. Setup of Steven Peers, professor of law at Essex University:
3. SOUNDBITE (English) Steven Peers, professor of law at Essex University:
"Well what we've seen for the last six weeks or so is that the government, so Mr (British Prime Minister, Boris) Johnson, keeps saying that he thinks he's likely to get a deal and that they're moving towards a deal. But the signs from the EU, more or less seems, most of them to say that we're not moving much towards a deal. So, unless that somehow radically changes that's what I'd expect to sort of come out from today. Although everyone sort of jumps on what other people says and will take one word or one sentence out of what Mr (European Commission President, Jean-Claude) Juncker says and maybe the next five sentences, in order to say that he thinks we're about to do a deal. But you never know it's always possible that there's been work behind the scenes that we don't all know about that is moving us towards a deal. I wouldn't absolutely rule it out."
4. Cutaway of Peers' hands
5. SOUNDBITE (English) Steven Peers, professor of law at Essex University:
"Well I think lawyers tend to be conservative and the conservative approach, with a "small c," would be to say well let's not upset the traditional rule that governments can choose to suspend Parliament when they like. But then, the counter argument is that the government's doing more than usually suspending Parliament for just a few days here or there, it's doing it at a crucial period to stop Parliament challenging it over Brexit. The reasons it's given don't really hold up to close scrutiny. According to many people who adhere to the press it might just prorogue (suspend) Parliament again if it can. So, those are the concerns that the counter arguments have and maybe the judges will take them into account."
6. Cutaway of Peers
7. SOUNDBITE (English) Steven Peers, professor of law at Essex University:
"Well no one can predict anything. I mean the Supreme Court may or may not rule against the government. Labour MPs (Members of Parliament), may or may not. The DUP (Democratic Unionist Party) may or may not switch in sufficient numbers to pass a deal, they may or may not be successful in a deal. I mean, I think the more likely scenario is the Supreme Court supports the government with some limits, on maybe what it can do in the future and the government doesn't get a deal or doesn't get it passed. So we move into a scenario, of whether it's really going to ask for an extension as the law requires it to do, to ask for an extension of EU membership. I mean, I don't think anyone should be certain about their predictions."
8. Various exteriors of Parliament
9. SOUNDBITE (English) Steven Peers, professor of law at Essex University:
"Well, there are people who've already gone to court to try and get the law enforced, which perhaps might mean the court itself delivering a notice to the EU on behalf of the government that is requesting an extension. It might mean civil servants are ordered to act on behalf of the government, in order to request an extension or you could try and enforce the law directly against Boris Johnson – if he refuses that's contempt of court, which could mean jail time. But I think that's kind of drastic, the courts are more likely to try and find a way to do it without locking anyone up."
10. Various exteriors of Parliament
11. Pan-left from London Bridge to Parliament
