1. Wide shot of Dr John Chipman holding report

2. Close up of Chipman posing with report

3. People reading report

4. SOUNDBITE: (English) Dr John Chipman, Director, International Institute of Strategic Studies

"Our net assessment of the current situation is that Iraq does not possess facilities to produce fissile material in sufficient amounts for nuclear weapons. It would require several years and extensive foreign assistance to build such fissile material production facilities. It could, however, assemble nuclear weapons within months if fissile material from foreign sources were obtained."

5. Wide shot of news conference

6. SOUNDBITE: (English) Dr John Chipman, Director, International Institute of Strategic Studies

"Iraq can certainly produce new stocks of bulk BW (biological weapons) agent, including botulinum toxin and anthrax with its existing facilities, equipment and materials. BW agent could be delivered by short-range munitions including artillery shells and rockets. Delivery by ballistic missile is more problematic given that much of the agent would be destroyed on impact, and the immediate area of dispersal would be small. Civilian casualties however could still be in the hundreds or thousands."

7. Cutaway of cameras

8. SOUNDBITE: (English) Dr John Chipman, Director, International Institute of Strategic Studies

"Unless Iraq has advanced beyond the impact fusing and warhead design of its 1990 era special warheads, its ability to disseminate effectively CW (chemical weapons) agent on ballistic missiles is questionable, since so much agent would be destroyed on impact."

9. Pan from stage to audience

10. SOUNDBITE: (English) Dr John Chipman, Director, International Institute of Strategic Studies

"Our net assessment of the current situation is that Iraq has probably retained a small force of about a dozen 650km range al-Hussein missiles. These could strike Israel, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Iran and Kuwait. These could be armed with CBW warheads."

11. Cutaway

12. SOUNDBITE: (English) Dr John Chipman, Director, International Institute of Strategic Studies

"This strategic dossier does not attempt to make a case, either way, as to whether Saddam Hussein's WMD (weapons of mass destruction) arsenal is a casus belli per se (reason to wage war in itself). Wait and the threat will grow; strike and the threat may be used. Clearly governments have a pressing duty to develop early a strategy to deal comprehensively with this unique international problem."

13. Wide shot of news conference

Saddam Hussein doesn't have nuclear missiles at the moment but he could develop them within a matter of months if he gets the necessary material from abroad, according to a leading independent think-tank.

The warning came in a dossier published on Monday by the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) in London.

The dossier added that Iraq has significant stocks of chemical and biological weapons, which could be loaded onto missiles capable of striking countries as afar afield as Israel, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Iran and Kuwait.