"The latest we've learned from AP VoteCast is that President Donald Trump was a was a dominant figure in American politics and he's a dominant figure in these midterm elections. Six in 10 voters or so said told AP vote cast that they voted because either to support or to oppose Donald Trump. About one third of voters said he didn't factor in their decisions. But more voters said that they voted to oppose Donald Trump than to support him. Voters give the president strong marks on the economy but they give him more marks on his temperament and that's something we've seen in a lot of other surveys. We saw that in advance of 2016 when the president won the White House. They gave him mice's temperament. So it will be interesting to see over the course of night what that actually does to those votes."
2. AP Graphic showing 64 percent of voters said Trump was a factor in their decision
3. AP Graphic showing 36 percent of voters said Trump was not a factor
4. AP Graphic showing that 39 percent of voters voted to oppose Trump
Joint Base Andrews, Maryland - 20 October 2018
5. President Trump pumps his fist while boarding Air Force One
"So 2018 is billed as The Year of the woman and so all eyes are really on are on female voters this year. And what we've learned from the vote cast right now is that there is certainly a gender gap in this election. Female voters voted for far more in favor for the Democrats than for the Republican on a national level for the House candidates. If you look at the breakdown of beef seen that in years a year after year but certainly in this election that's something a number that we're all looking for answers maybe give us some indication where things are going to go. But right now there is a significant gender gap for women voting for Democrats."
Newport Beach - 6 November 2018
8. Women voting at machines
Columbus, Ohio - 6 Nov 2012
9. Voters in an Ohio precinct for early voting
Wisconsin - 14 August 2018
10. Voters at polling precinct in Wisconsin for its primary
Columbus, Ohio - 6 Nov 2012
11. Close shot of woman's hand touching voting machine
"Urban voters are are trending more towards Democrats and that's something we've seen consistent with previous elections. Rural voters small town voters are leaning more towards Republicans and those suburban voters in the middle. And that's really where a lot of these key districts are going to be won and lost. Those are trending towards Democrats at the national level. We'll see how that breaks down over the course of the individual districts but the at the national level suburban voters told AP vote cast that they are either voting for the Democrats."
President Donald Trump was a dominant force in the 2018 midterm elections as attitudes toward the polarizing leader influenced the decisions of more than 6 in 10 voters.
Nearly 40 percent of voters cast their ballots to express opposition to the president, according to AP VoteCast, a national survey of the electorate, while about 25 percent said they voted to express support for Trump.
While Trump is not on the ballot, his controversial presidency has animated voters on both sides of the aisle, with 2018 likely to set turnout records for a midterm election. Democrats have been activated in opposition to Trump since the moment of his election, while in recent weeks Trump has driven Republicans to the polls by trying to cast the race a referendum on his administration. The outcomes of Tuesday's races, which will determine control of Congress, stand to alter the course of the Trump presidency.
The snapshot of who voted and why comes from preliminary results of VoteCast, a nationwide survey of more than 113,000 voters and about 20,000 nonvoters conducted for The Associated Press by NORC at the University of Chicago.
Democrats looking to seize control of Congress have pinned their hopes on women and minority voters, while Republicans have hoped to retain majorities by preserving support among the bloc of voters who propelled Trump to the White House in 2016.
According to VoteCast, women voted considerably more in favor of their congressional Democratic candidate: About 6 in 10 voted for the Democrat, compared with 4 in 10 for the Republican. Men, by contrast, were more divided in their vote.
Urbanites voted almost 2 to 1 in favor of Democrats, and small-town and rural voters cast votes for the Republicans by a smaller margin.
In suburban areas where key House races will be decided, voters skewed significantly toward Democrats by a nearly 10-point margin.
Non-white voters cast ballots for Democrats by a roughly 3-to-1 margin.
Democrats need to gain a net of at least 23 seats in the House and two seats in the Senate to win majorities in the respective chambers.