This should be a fine time for British carmakers, with sales increasing nicely, but for one major storm front - the impossible-to-predict ramifications of the country's vote to leave the European Union (EU).

As British industry leaders showed off their wares on Wednesday beneath the Eiffel Tower and ahead of the Paris Auto Show, Britain's EU exit, or 'Brexit', remains vexing because it's still not clear exactly how the complex and highly globalised auto trade will be affected.

Michael Hawes, Chief Executive at the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), told those gathered in Paris on Wednesday that the single market was "fundamental to the current strength we're enjoying".

Hawes added that the British government now has "a major challenge" to balance the wishes of the British public with the continued success of the auto industry.

The sector has attracted record investment in recent years of 3.5 billion pounds (USD 4,549,119,400), but auto industry representatives like Hanno Kirner, Executive Director of Corporate Strategy at Jaguar Land Rover Automotive, said the key to ongoing success "is we have to maintain free trade with Europe".

Many expect Brexit to be disruptive, and to raise costs for companies, but the hard talk negotiations between Britain and the EU on the crucial issues of tariffs and the free movement of labour are still months away - and will possibly take years to resolve.

That means years of uncertainty over the cost of building cars in Britain and the ease of exporting them to other EU countries.

It will also create doubts about how difficult it will become to import vital car parts from other EU countries, to say nothing of the restrictions likely to be put in place on the free movement of skilled workers needed to assemble vehicles.

This is the main reason investment has slowed in an industry that was enjoying a good run of health - production grew more than 12 per cent in the first half of 2016 compared to the year before.

While the drop in the pound since the June vote to leave the EU has helped car exports from Britain, overall uncertainties are casting a shadow over the future.

"We had a short-term gain but we are very mindful of the long term," Simon Sproule, marketing director for Aston Martin, said in Paris.

He said the company's investment plan remains "completely unchanged since Brexit," at least for now. And it's focusing on non-European markets, too.

Carmakers do not know how much production costs will surge, and whether the increases, possibly in the form of higher tariffs, will end Britain's attractiveness as a platform for building cars and getting them into the European market.

There was one possible sign of a continental divide: while international carmakers are unveiling a slew of new models at the Paris Car Show this week, Land Rover chose to stay on the other side of the English Channel to demonstrate its latest model Wednesday.

Company officials played down any political message behind the decision. But with the industry converging on Paris this week, whether to consider British manufacturers part of the European market is a question on many minds.

Paris - 28 September 2016

1. Pan from Eiffel Tower to British-made cars on display

2. Cars on display

3. Close of Jaguar engraved in air intake

4. Pan of new Jaguar SUV

5. Hanno Kirner talking to reporters

6. SOUNDBITE (English) Hanno Kirner, Executive Director of Corporate Strategy at Jaguar Land Rover Automotive:

"Key to us is we have to maintain free trade with Europe. Key is that we continue to have access to global talent and key for us is that industrial regulation doesn't change. Those are the three points that are really important to us and we're trying to talk to government to explain, we're trying to talk to European governments to explain and we believe it's in the mutual interest of both the UK and European countries to maintain those three key points."

7. Kirner

8. SOUNDBITE (English) Hanno Kirner, Executive Director of Corporate Strategy at Jaguar Land Rover Automotive:

"We cannot stop investing. We are in a long-term industry. We have been investing nearly a billion pounds (1,299,767,000 US dollars) in our engine manufacturing capacity in Wolverhampton. We just continue to grow and so we cannot make our decisions dependent on political singular events so our investment this year - 3.5 billion pounds (4,549,119,400 US dollars) in the UK, the biggest industrial investment - is going to continue what it is and is going to go forward."

9. Aston Martin DB11

10. Aston Martin logo

11. Pan of DB11

12. SOUNDBITE (English) Simon Sproule, Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer at Aston Martin:

"What we've seen in the short term is currency wins with the devaluation of the pound. As an exporter - and we're dominantly an exporter from the UK - that's been a benefit to us. The economic uncertainty is still out there. We're scenario planning. The short-term impact in terms of the British economy does not seem to be so severe. We're seeing a little hesitation in the market but overall, we're pretty much business as usual. But we're planning obviously for when Article 50 is triggered and then we start to get in the discussions."

13. cutaways of Sproule

14. SOUNDBITE (English) Simon Sproule, Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer at Aston Martin:

"No, in fact our investment plans are completely unchanged before Brexit and after Brexit. We announced before Brexit that we are going to invest in a new manufacturing plant in the UK. That's the second manufacturing plant, a plant in Wales that's going to create 750 jobs. Additionally we are going to create another 250 jobs in the West Midlands so that's a thousand direct jobs by the end of the decade just for Aston Martin and those plans are unchanged."

15. Auto industry representatives on stage

16. Representatives on stage with cars

17. Tilt-down from Eiffel Tower to stage with cars

18. Michael Hawes giving interview

19. SOUNDBITE (English) Michael Hawes, Chief Executive at Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT):

"The current uncertainties are significant and business never likes uncertainty. The Government has a major challenge now that it's facing. An industry like ours, we want to remain within the single market but we recognise the challenge that's been put forward as a result of the referendum. People voted due to concerns around immigration and the two are not necessarily compatible. Our role is to ensure we reflect our members', the industry's view and that is from a business perspective that being part of the single market is fundamental to the current strength that we enjoy."

20. Sacre Coeur church through window of convention room on first floor of Eiffel Tower

21. Various of crowd attending UK automaker industry event

22. Close of Great Britain campaign logo

23. Wide of Mark Garnier walking onto podium

24. SOUNDBITE (English) Mark Garnier, Parliamentary Under Secretary of State for International Trade:

"The British people have spoken and we live in a democracy and we will deliver that democracy. But for people like me, it's incredibly important that when I go back to Westminster, we are delivering these messages which you are giving us. The SMMT are very efficient at engaging with parliamentarians and making sure we understand what's important to you. We know, full well, that you need to be able to secure, in the long term, zero tariff access to the single market. We also know full well that it is incredibly important that you can get engineers when you need them that can either move around your businesses that are pan-European or if you are not, that you can source engineers from other parts of the EU to come in and help your businesses develop and grow stronger."

25. Garnier talking

26. Crowd

The parliamentary bill empowering the British government to begin the formal process of leaving the European Union (EU) completed its passage Wednesday night in the House of Commons.

Prime Minister Theresa May's government succeeded in crossing the final crucial hurdle with 494 votes to 122.

"Which was a bit of a surprise given that at least two-thirds of the British MPs actually were in favor of staying in the EU. But overwhelmingly they've shifted to say we accept the view of the public, the majority view of the public is to leave the EU, we as the parliament have to represent that view of the public. So she [May] has behind her a very strong pro-Brexit majority," commented Prof. Simon Hix of the London School of Economics and Politics in an interview with China Central Television (CCTV).

May sat in the chamber alongside her Brexit ministers as the historic result was announced by deputy speaker Lindsay Hoyle.

It now goes to the unelected House of Lords for further scrutiny before being sent to Queen Elizabeth for royal assent.

Having won Wednesday night in the Commons, where a string of amendments were defeated, it almost guarantees that May will be on course to tell Brussels within weeks to start the EU exit process. However, scholars like Hix anticipates a difficult talk with EU and its member nations.

"A withdrawal agreement, say on the terms of how much money we still owe the EU, the rights of EU nationals in the UK, or the rights of UK nationals in the rest of EU, that has to be agreed by a qualified majority of the government and the European parliament. But the bigger problem is the free trade agreement that comes afterwards. The free trade agreement that comes afterwards has to be agreed by all 27 EU member states and probably [needs] ratification domestically in all of the national parliaments in Europe," said Prof. Hix.

He suggests the Brexit talk will be a great challenge to the EU as well considering it also faces pressure coming from the international political environment as well as internal issues.

"They face a challenge with Putin and worry about Putin in the Baltic states. They face a challenge with Trump in the White House and Trump saying he wants to dismantle the EU, and what that means for EU transatlantic cooperation on security questions like NATO and trade issues and global environment standards and all the other things that the EU has been cooperating with the U.S. And they face internal challenges, with the Eurozone crisis, with Greece potentially defaulting again, and the migration crisis with a new wave of migrants probably coming across the Mediterranean once the weather starts to improve in the spring," he added.

FILE: London, UK - Date unknown

1. View of London Eye through buildings

2. Flag on top of Westminster Hall

London, UK - Feb 8, 2017

3. SOUNDBITE (English) Simon Hix, professor at London School of Economics and Politics:

"Which was a bit of a surprise given that at least two-thirds of the British MPs actually were in favor of staying in the EU. But overwhelmingly they've shifted to say we accept the view of the public, the majority view of the public is to leave the EU, we as the parliament have to represent that view of the public. So she [May] has behind her a very strong pro-Brexit majority."

FILE: London, UK - Date unknown

4. Telephone booths

5. Westminster parliament building

London, UK - Feb 8, 2017

6. SOUNDBITE (English) Simon Hix, professor at London School of Economics and Politics:

"So a withdrawal agreement, say on the terms of how much money we still owe the EU, the rights of EU nationals in the UK, or the rights of UK nationals in the rest of EU, that has to be agreed by a qualified majority of the government and the European parliament. But the bigger problem is the free trade agreement that comes afterwards. The free trade agreement that comes afterwards has to be agreed by all 27 EU member states and probably [needs] ratification domestically in all of the national parliaments in Europe."

FILE: London, UK - Date unknown

7. Various of Westminster parliament building

London, UK - Feb 8, 2017

8. SOUNDBITE (English) Simon Hix, professor at London School of Economics and Politics:

"They face a challenge with Putin and worry about Putin in the Baltic states. They face a challenge with Trump in the White House and Trump saying he wants to dismantle the EU, and what that means for EU transatlantic cooperation on security questions like NATO and trade issues and global environment standards and all the other things that the EU has been cooperating with the U.S. And they face internal challenges, with the Eurozone crisis, with Greece potentially defaulting again, and the migration crisis with a new wave of migrants probably coming across the Mediterranean once the weather starts to improve in the spring."

FILE: London, UK - Date unknown

9. View of Westminster parliament building, boat cruising by

10. Flag

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London - 18 January 2017

++VARIOUS ANGLES++

1. SOUNDBITE (English) Jeremy Corbyn, Opposition Labour Party leader:

"Mr. Speaker, yesterday the prime minister snubbed parliament and snubbed the Brexit committee's recommendations to bring forward a white paper, whilst at the same time describing the referendum as a vote to restore our parliamentary democracy. This is about our jobs, living standards and future prosperity. Why will it not be scrutinised by this house?"

2. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, UK Prime Minister:

"Well, I say to the right honourable gentleman that what I did yesterday was set out a plan for a global Britain. I set out, I set out a plan that would put the divisions of last year behind us, that would show a vision, that shows a vision for stronger, fairer, more united, more outlooking, prosperous, tolerant and independent, truly global Britain."

++BLACK FRAMES++

3. SOUNDBITE (English) Jeremy Corbyn, Opposition Labour Party leader:

"Mr. Speaker, restoring parliamentary democracy whilst sidelining parliament. Not so, Mr. Speaker, it's not so much the Iron Lady as the Irony Lady."

4. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, UK Prime Minister: ++INCLUDES CUTAWAY OF CORBYN++

"What I set out yesterday was a plan for a global Britain bringing prosperity to this country and jobs to people and spreading economic growth across the country. But actually yesterday,we also learned a little more of the right honourable gentleman's thinking on this issue. What he said was the following: she has said leave the single market but at the same time says she wants to have access to the single market. I am not quite sure how that's going to go down in Europe - I think we have to have a deal that ensure we have access to the market. I've got a plan, he doesn't have a clue."

++BLACK FRAMES++

5. SOUNDBITE (English) Jeremy Corbyn, Opposition Labour Party leader:

"The Prime Minister said something about ' frictionless access to the Single Market' and a bespoke customs union deal. Could the Prime Minister give us a little bit of certainty and clarity about this? Has she ruled out paying any kind of access fee for what she describes as the 'frictionless market'?"

6. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, UK Prime Minister:

"I can say to the honourable gentleman that access to the single market is exactly what I was talking about yesterday in my speech. One of the key objectives is we negotiate a free trade agreement with the European Union that gives us the widest possible access to trading with and operating within the EU. And he talks about frictionless access. Actually, this was a separate point which was about frictionless borders in relation to the customs union. A very important issue for us in relation to our relationship between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland."

++BLACK FRAMES++

7. SOUNDBITE (English) Jeremy Corbyn, Opposition Labour Party leader:

"The question was, Ms. Speaker, would we have to pay for access to the market or not? The Prime Minister has not given an answer on that. And yesterday she set out a wish list on immigration, referring to skills shortages and high-skilled migration. Does she now then disagree with the Secretary State for Rural Affairs, who told an employers' conference 'don't worry, you can still have cheap EU labour after we leave the European Union'?"

8. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, UK Prime Minister:

"The right honourable gentlemen talks about access. Yes, the whole point is that we will negotiate a free trade agreement with the European Union that is about the best possible access for British business to operate in the European Union member states and for European businesses to operate here in the United Kingdom."

++BLACK FRAMES++

9. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, UK Prime Minister:

"But yet again, I say to the right honourable gentleman (referring to Corbyn), there is indeed a difference between us, it's very simple - when I look at the issue of Brexit or indeed any other issue, like the National Health service or social care, I consider the issue, I set out my plan and I stick to it, it's called leadership, he should try it sometime."

STORYLINE:

UK Prime Minister Theresa May accused opposition Labour Party leader of not having a clue about the country's exit strategy from the European Union on Wednesday.

The pair clashed at Prime Minister's Questions, with Jeremy Corbyn referring to May "not so much the Iron Lady as the Irony Lady."

On the issue of access to the single market, Corbyn asked May several times to clarify what she meant by "frictionless market" during her Tuesday speech on Brexit strategy.

He asked May whether Britain would have to pay an "access fee" to the Single Market after leaving the EU, but she avoided a clear answer on this.

Instead, May told Corbyn that she is confident Britain will get " the best possible access" to the European Union market as it exits the trade bloc.

===========================================================

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London - 2 February 2017

1. Wide of lawmakers in Britain's House of Commons

2. Speaker

3. SOUNDBITE (English) David Davis, British Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union:

"It reiterates our firm view that it's in the UK's interests for the European Union to succeed politically and economically. That cannot be said too firmly, we want the EU to succeed, politically and economically. And so we approach the negotiation to come in a spirit of goodwill and working to an outcome in our mutual benefit."

++BLACK++

4. SOUNDBITE (English) David Davis, British Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union:

"While we cannot sign new trade deals whilst still members, we can and are preparing the ground for them. This means updating the terms of our membership of the World Trade Organisation of which the UK was a founding member, as GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) in the first instance. Modern free trade agreements require mechanisms to resolve disputes and provide certainty for businesses on both sides. So the White Paper examines the precedence in this area and makes clear that we will negotiate an arrangement that respects UK sovereignty."

++BLACK ++

5. SOUNDBITE (English) David Davis, British Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union: (++INCLUDES DIFFERENT ANGLES OF DAVIS++)

"In terms of clarity and certainty we recognise the need to provide it wherever we can, during a period when some uncertainty is inevitable. So we will bring forward another White Paper on the Great Repeal Bill, which will lay out our approach in detail. This legislation will mean the repeal of the European Communities Act, while converting the existing EU law into domestic law at the point of exit. That means the position we start from, a common regulatory framework with the EU Single Market, is unprecedented. The negotiation will not be about bringing together two divergent systems, it's about finding the best way for the benefits of the common systems and frameworks that currently enable UK and EU businesses to trade with, and operate in each other's markets, to continue when we leave the European Union."

++BLACK ++

5. SOUNDBITE (English) David Davis, British Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union: (++INCLUDES DIFFERENT ANGLES OF DAVIS++)

"A never-ending transitional status is emphatically not what we need... not what we seek, but a phased process of implementation of new arrangements; whether immigration controls, custom systems, the way we operate and cooperate on criminal and civil justice matters, or future regulatory and legal frameworks of business will be necessary for both sides. As the White Paper says, the time needed to phase in new arrangements in different areas may vary. One of the most important actors in global affairs, we will continue to work with the EU, to preserve the UK and European security, fight crime and terrorism and uphold justice."

6. Wide shot members of parliament

STORYLINE:

The British government on Thursday tried to ease some of the uncertainty around the UK's exit from the European Union, saying it sought an outcome of "mutual benefit" to both sides.

Brexit Secretary David Davis told lawmakers that "we want the EU to succeed politically and economically", and that Britain would work toward a positive and constructive partnership with the bloc.

Davis spoke as the government published a 75-page White Paper, a document laying out some details of its goals and strategy in divorce negotiations.

===========================================================

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(ii) they should check with the applicable collecting society in their Territory regarding the clearance of any sound recording or performance included within the AP Television News service

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British Prime Minister May is taking a tougher stance on sanctions on Russia than is US President Donald Trump.

Trump was asked how close the U.S. is to lifting sanctions on Russia over its incursion into Ukraine.

Trump says it is "very early to be talking about that." He says the U.S. looks to have a great relationship with all countries, including Russia.

May says Britain wants to see sanctions remain until a 2015 cease-fire agreement for Ukraine is fully implemented.

Trump continues to maintain that torture works, but he says he's giving his defense secretary power to "override" his views.

Trump said Defense Secretary James Mattis doesn't believe torture, or a technique called waterboarding that stimulates drowning, is an effective tool for obtaining information.

Trump says, "I don't necessarily agree," but he says Mattis "will override, because I'm giving him that power."

President Donald Trump says he had a "friendly call" with the Mexican president.

At a news conference with British Prime Minister Theresa May, Trump also confirmed he had an hourlong call with President Enrique Pena Nieto (PAYN'-yuh nee-EH'-toh).

The call came a day after the Mexican leader canceled a visit to Washington after Trump moved forward on building a border wall.

Trump reiterated his stance that the US-Mexico border is porous and drugs are making their way into the U.S.

He also vowed to renegotiate American trade deals with Mexico.

Trump also reaffirmed his position that Britain's exit from the European Union will be "a fantastic thing for the United Kingdom."

Trump says he expects to get along well with May because they both enjoy being around other people.

Washington - January 27, 2017

1. Wide of presser

2. SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump, speaking about Russian sanctions

"Well, I hear a call was set up Steve and We'll see what happens as far as the sanctions, very early to be talking about that. But, we look to have a great relationship with all countries, ideally. That won't necessarily happen. Unfortunately that won't happen with many countries. But, if we can have, as we do with Prime MInister May and the relationship we've all developed and even the short relationship that we've just developed just by being with each other... have lunch... we've really had some very interesting talks, some very productive talks... But if we can have a great relationship with Russia and with China and with all the other countries, I'm all for that. That would be a tremendous asset. No guarantees, but if we can, that would be a positive, not a negative."

3. Wide of presser

4. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, British Prime Minister

++SHOT STARTS ON CAMERA MOVE TO MAY++

"As far as the UK is concerned on sanctions for Russia in relations to their activities in the Ukraine, we have been very clear that we want to see the Minsk agreement fully implemented, we believe the sanctions should continue until we see the Minsk agreement fully implemented. And we've been continuing to argue that inside the European Union."

5. Wide of presser

6. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"We have a great general who has just been appointed secretary of defense, Gen. James Mattis, and he has stated publicly that he does not necessarily believe in torture or waterboarding or however you want to define it. Enhanced interrogation I guess is what a lot of words... a lot of people would like to use. I don't necessarily agree, but I would tell you that he would override because I'm giving him that power. He's the expert, he's highly respected, he's the general's general. Got through the Senate very quickly -- which in this country is not easy, I will tell you. So, I'm going to rely on him. I happen to feel that it does work. I've been open about that for a long period of time, but I am going with our leaders."

7. Wide of presser

8. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"But, I will say that we had a very good call. I have been very strong on Mexico, I have great respect for Mexico, I love the Mexican people, I work with the Mexican people all the time -- great relationship. But, as you know, Mexico with the United States has out-negotiated us, has beat us to a pulp though our past leaders. They've made us look foolish. We have a trade deficit of 60 billion dollars with Mexico."

9. Wide of presser

10. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"I can often tell how I get along with someone very early, and I think we're going to have a fantastic relationship. Brexit -- and I really don't change my position very much. If you go back and look, my position on trade has been solid for many, many years -- since I was a very young person talking about how we were getting ripped off by the rest of the world. I never knew I would be in this position where we can actually do something about it."

11. Wide of presser

12. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"I think Brexit's going to be a wonderful thing for your country. I think when it irons out you're going to have your own identity and you're going to have the people that you want in your country, and you're going to be able to make free trade deals without having somebody watching you and what you're doing."

13. Trump and May exit

British Prime Minister May is taking a tougher stance on sanctions on Russia than is US President Donald Trump.

Trump was asked how close the U.S. is to lifting sanctions on Russia over its incursion into Ukraine.

Trump says it is "very early to be talking about that." He says the U.S. looks to have a great relationship with all countries, including Russia.

May says Britain wants to see sanctions remain until a 2015 cease-fire agreement for Ukraine is fully implemented.

Trump continues to maintain that torture works, but he says he's giving his defense secretary power to "override" his views.

Trump said Defense Secretary James Mattis doesn't believe torture, or a technique called waterboarding that stimulates drowning, is an effective tool for obtaining information.

Trump says, "I don't necessarily agree," but he says Mattis "will override, because I'm giving him that power."

President Donald Trump says he had a "friendly call" with the Mexican president.

At a news conference with British Prime Minister Theresa May, Trump also confirmed he had an hourlong call with President Enrique Pena Nieto (PAYN'-yuh nee-EH'-toh).

The call came a day after the Mexican leader canceled a visit to Washington after Trump moved forward on building a border wall.

Trump reiterated his stance that the US-Mexico border is porous and drugs are making their way into the U.S.

He also vowed to renegotiate American trade deals with Mexico.

Trump also reaffirmed his position that Britain's exit from the European Union will be "a fantastic thing for the United Kingdom."

Trump says he expects to get along well with May because they both enjoy being around other people.

AP TELEVISION

Washington - January 27, 2017

1. Wide of presser

2. SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump, speaking about Russian sanctions

"Well, I hear a call was set up Steve and We'll see what happens as far as the sanctions, very early to be talking about that. But, we look to have a great relationship with all countries, ideally. That won't necessarily happen. Unfortunately that won't happen with many countries. But, if we can have, as we do with Prime MInister May and the relationship we've all developed and even the short relationship that we've just developed just by being with each other... have lunch... we've really had some very interesting talks, some very productive talks... But if we can have a great relationship with Russia and with China and with all the other countries, I'm all for that. That would be a tremendous asset. No guarantees, but if we can, that would be a positive, not a negative."

3. Wide of presser

4. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, British Prime Minister

++SHOT STARTS ON CAMERA MOVE TO MAY++

"As far as the UK is concerned on sanctions for Russia in relations to their activities in the Ukraine, we have been very clear that we want to see the Minsk agreement fully implemented, we believe the sanctions should continue until we see the Minsk agreement fully implemented. And we've been continuing to argue that inside the European Union."

5. Wide of presser

6. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"We have a great general who has just been appointed secretary of defense, Gen. James Mattis, and he has stated publicly that he does not necessarily believe in torture or waterboarding or however you want to define it. Enhanced interrogation I guess is what a lot of words... a lot of people would like to use. I don't necessarily agree, but I would tell you that he would override because I'm giving him that power. He's the expert, he's highly respected, he's the general's general. Got through the Senate very quickly -- which in this country is not easy, I will tell you. So, I'm going to rely on him. I happen to feel that it does work. I've been open about that for a long period of time, but I am going with our leaders."

7. Wide of presser

8. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"But, I will say that we had a very good call. I have been very strong on Mexico, I have great respect for Mexico, I love the Mexican people, I work with the Mexican people all the time -- great relationship. But, as you know, Mexico with the United States has out-negotiated us, has beat us to a pulp though our past leaders. They've made us look foolish. We have a trade deficit of 60 billion dollars with Mexico."

9. Wide of presser

10. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"I can often tell how I get along with someone very early, and I think we're going to have a fantastic relationship. Brexit -- and I really don't change my position very much. If you go back and look, my position on trade has been solid for many, many years -- since I was a very young person talking about how we were getting ripped off by the rest of the world. I never knew I would be in this position where we can actually do something about it."

11. Wide of presser

12. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"I think Brexit's going to be a wonderful thing for your country. I think when it irons out you're going to have your own identity and you're going to have the people that you want in your country, and you're going to be able to make free trade deals without having somebody watching you and what you're doing."

13. Trump and May exit

British Prime Minister May is taking a tougher stance on sanctions on Russia than is US President Donald Trump.

Trump was asked how close the U.S. is to lifting sanctions on Russia over its incursion into Ukraine.

Trump says it is "very early to be talking about that." He says the U.S. looks to have a great relationship with all countries, including Russia.

May says Britain wants to see sanctions remain until a 2015 cease-fire agreement for Ukraine is fully implemented.

Trump continues to maintain that torture works, but he says he's giving his defense secretary power to "override" his views.

Trump said Defense Secretary James Mattis doesn't believe torture, or a technique called waterboarding that stimulates drowning, is an effective tool for obtaining information.

Trump says, "I don't necessarily agree," but he says Mattis "will override, because I'm giving him that power."

President Donald Trump says he had a "friendly call" with the Mexican president.

At a news conference with British Prime Minister Theresa May, Trump also confirmed he had an hourlong call with President Enrique Pena Nieto (PAYN'-yuh nee-EH'-toh).

The call came a day after the Mexican leader canceled a visit to Washington after Trump moved forward on building a border wall.

Trump reiterated his stance that the US-Mexico border is porous and drugs are making their way into the U.S.

He also vowed to renegotiate American trade deals with Mexico.

Trump also reaffirmed his position that Britain's exit from the European Union will be "a fantastic thing for the United Kingdom."

Trump says he expects to get along well with May because they both enjoy being around other people.

Washington - January 27, 2017

1. Wide of presser

2. SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump, speaking about Russian sanctions

"Well, I hear a call was set up Steve and We'll see what happens as far as the sanctions, very early to be talking about that. But, we look to have a great relationship with all countries, ideally. That won't necessarily happen. Unfortunately that won't happen with many countries. But, if we can have, as we do with Prime MInister May and the relationship we've all developed and even the short relationship that we've just developed just by being with each other... have lunch... we've really had some very interesting talks, some very productive talks... But if we can have a great relationship with Russia and with China and with all the other countries, I'm all for that. That would be a tremendous asset. No guarantees, but if we can, that would be a positive, not a negative."

3. Wide of presser

4. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, British Prime Minister

++SHOT STARTS ON CAMERA MOVE TO MAY++

"As far as the UK is concerned on sanctions for Russia in relations to their activities in the Ukraine, we have been very clear that we want to see the Minsk agreement fully implemented, we believe the sanctions should continue until we see the Minsk agreement fully implemented. And we've been continuing to argue that inside the European Union."

5. Wide of presser

6. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"We have a great general who has just been appointed secretary of defense, Gen. James Mattis, and he has stated publicly that he does not necessarily believe in torture or waterboarding or however you want to define it. Enhanced interrogation I guess is what a lot of words... a lot of people would like to use. I don't necessarily agree, but I would tell you that he would override because I'm giving him that power. He's the expert, he's highly respected, he's the general's general. Got through the Senate very quickly -- which in this country is not easy, I will tell you. So, I'm going to rely on him. I happen to feel that it does work. I've been open about that for a long period of time, but I am going with our leaders."

7. Wide of presser

8. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"But, I will say that we had a very good call. I have been very strong on Mexico, I have great respect for Mexico, I love the Mexican people, I work with the Mexican people all the time -- great relationship. But, as you know, Mexico with the United States has out-negotiated us, has beat us to a pulp though our past leaders. They've made us look foolish. We have a trade deficit of 60 billion dollars with Mexico."

9. Wide of presser

10. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"I can often tell how I get along with someone very early, and I think we're going to have a fantastic relationship. Brexit -- and I really don't change my position very much. If you go back and look, my position on trade has been solid for many, many years -- since I was a very young person talking about how we were getting ripped off by the rest of the world. I never knew I would be in this position where we can actually do something about it."

11. Wide of presser

12. . SOUNDBITE (English) US President Donald Trump:

"I think Brexit's going to be a wonderful thing for your country. I think when it irons out you're going to have your own identity and you're going to have the people that you want in your country, and you're going to be able to make free trade deals without having somebody watching you and what you're doing."

13. Trump and May exit

With Britain's exit from the European Union looming, Scottish officials are visiting Liechtenstein to explore the tiny Alpine country's arrangements that give it access to the massive EU market.

Liechtenstein Foreign Minister Aurelia Frick says that Scottish visitors are "coming and visiting Lichtenstein, and trying to find out especially about the functioning of" of the European Economic Area (EEA) that allows Liechtenstein, Iceland and Norway to be part of the EU single market.

Frick spoke to The Associated Press on Monday at a meeting of ministers from the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), another bloc that unites Switzerland with those three countries.

She said Liechtenstein can inform Scotland about the way the EEA and EFTA work, but said Britain must sort out its post-Brexit ambitions before membership in either could be considered.

Geneva - 21 November 2016

1. The European Free Trade Association (EFTA) conference building

2. Room inside the conference

3. Aurelia Frick, Liechtenstein Foreign Minister, speaking with journalists

4. SOUNDBITE (English) Aurelia Frick, Liechtenstein Foreign Minister:

''In the EFTA family we discuss twice a year about partners we are at the moment negotiating with, about possible future partners, and as well free trade agreements we want to renegotiate or make more modern, so this was the discussion this morning.''

5. Speakers at the conference

6. SOUNDBITE (English) Aurelia Frick, Liechtenstein Foreign Minister:

"I think first of all we need to know what Britain wants, so everybody here in this room is asking us what is happening. We don’t know it. So that’s a decision that Britain has to take, and then we are in a position in the EFTA family or EEA family, or each of our countries to see how we deal with the situation.''

7. Participants of the conference during coffee break

8. SOUNDBITE (English) Aurelia Frick, Liechtenstein Foreign Minister:

''We have people from Scotland coming and visiting Liechtenstein, and trying to find out especially about the functioning of the EEA and EFTA. And especially as we are limited in size, it is interesting to see how a country of our size is organising the whole set up within, especially the EEA. So we are open to share information, we are open to show how the functioning is, but this is not up to us to decide what Scotland is doing. I think that’s an answer Westminster needs to give.''

9. Cutaway of Monica Maeland, Norwegian Minister of Trade and Industry

10. SOUNDBITE (English) Monica Maeland, Norwegian Minister of Trade and Industry:

''We haven’t had any signal from the UK about these questions. And I think first of all, the UK has to decide for themselves which way they are going to go.''

11. EFTA conference participants and EFTA signboard

12. SOUNDBITE (English) Monica Maeland, Norwegian Minister of Trade and Industry:

''Of course it’s very important to all EFTA countries to maintain our close relationship with the UK, and with the EU. For Norway, both the EEA agreement is very important, has been and will be in the future. And as for our relationship with the UK, it’s also very important to remain our close economic and trade relations, so that’s all good.''

13. Johann Schneider-Ammann, President of Switzerland and Finance Minister, talking about the progress of negotiations with India

14. SOUNDBITE (English) Johann Schneider-Ammann, President of Switzerland:

''Both sides signalled a certain flexibility, I assume that we find a compromise and find a solution.''

15. EFTA conference building

RESTRICTION SUMMARY: AP CLIENTS ONLY

SHOTLIST:

UK POOL - AP CLIENTS ONLY

Birmingham - 2 October 2016

1. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, UK Prime Minister:

++INCLUDES CUTAWAY OF AUDIENCE APPLAUDING, FRAMING CHANGES++

"But first today, we're going to talk about global Britain. Our ambitious vision for Britain after Brexit. Because 100 days ago, that is what the country voted for. We're going to talk about Britain, in which we are close friends, allies and trading partners with our European neighbours. But a Britain in which we pass our own laws, and govern ourselves. (PAUSES FOR APPLAUSE). In which we look beyond our continent, and to opportunities in the wider world, in which we win trade agreements with old friends and new partners. In which Britain is always the most passionate, most consistent, most convincing advocate for free trade. In which we play our full part in promoting peace and prosperity across the world. And in which we, with our brilliant armed forces and intelligence services, protect our national interests, our national security, and security of our allies."

++BLACK FRAMES++

2. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, UK Prime Minister:

++INCLUDES CUTAWAY OF UK FOREIGN SECRETARY BORIS JOHNSON++

"Even now, some politicians, democratically elected politicians, say that the referendum isn't valid. That we need to have a second vote. Others say they don't like the result, and they'll challenge any attempt to leave the European Union through the courts. Oh, come on. (Laughter and applause from audience)."

3. Various of audience applauding

4. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, UK Prime Minister:

"The referendum result was clear, it was legitimate. It was the biggest vote for change this country has ever known. Brexit means Brexit and we're going to make a success of it."

5. Audience applauding

STORYLINE:

Prime Minister Theresa May has said Britain "will make a success of Brexit" at the Conservative Party's annual conference in Birmingham, promising to protect the country's global interests and promote free trade.

Britain voted in a June referendum to leave the EU, but has not yet invoked the article of the EU treaty that would trigger negotiations.

Triggering Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty early next year would set the nation on a course to leave the 28-nation trading bloc by 2019.

===========================================================

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WEF HOST BROADCASTER - AP CLIENTS ONLY

Davos - 20 January 2017

1. Wide of Word Economic Forum panel

2. SOUNDBITE: (English) Christine Lagarde, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director:

"So we have revised up the US. The question we have and which is not entirely clear, is how this fiscal stimulus is going, or not, to be combined with trade measures that would most likely have a negative impact and the combination of the fiscal and trade measures if they were to be taken would be something to be explored and probably something that would be overall not a net positive. For the moment what we're also forecasting, and this was anticipated by the markets, question are they right or not, maybe Larry (Fink) can address that one, but what was anticipated by the markets is higher interest rates as a result of higher inflation and a US economy working at full regime and therefore higher valuation of dollar relative to other currencies which has clearly an impact on those corporates and those sovereigns that are borrowed in US denominated loans and which will suffer as a result of that."

3. Cutaway

4. SOUNDBITE: (English) Wolfgang Schauble, German Finance Minister: ++PARTLY OVERLAID WITH VARIOUS ANGLES OF PANEL++

"I am a little bit uncertain what will happen in this year, 2017, in the eurozone. It's right, actually the eurozone is doing economically, fiscally, a little bit better. It's fine, Germany is doing also well, we had a growth rate last year of 1.9 percent, that's not so bad for Germany, but we have elections in some important European member states, beginning in the Netherlands in March and some others are following, therefore there is a lot of uncertainty. We don't really know what will be the geopolitical risk if we will have problems in trade, in free trade, the German economy will feel some influence."

5. SOUNDBITE: (English) Wolfgang Schauble, German Finance Minister: ++STARTS ON SHOT OF MODERATOR MARTIN WOLF++

"I think Brexit will not have in this year, in the future of course, in this year I don't think that there will be a lot of negative influence on the eurozone, I don't think that. Actually you can see that for them it's much better, it has a positive impact on the British economy, therefore everything is fine. Until now."

6. SOUNDBITE: (English) Philip Hammond, British Chancellor of the Exchequer: ++INCLUDES SIDE SHOT OF HAMMOND SPEAKING++

"Some businesses, quite understandably, are holding off investment decisions waiting for the fog of Brexit to clear and to have a much, a better understanding of what the future looks like. But other businesses that are not so dependant on access to the European market on trade barriers, have continued to invest. We've seen big investments in the UK by Google, by Apple, by Softbank, since the referendum decision. We've also seen big investment decisions for example by Japanese car manufacturers to proceed with investments in the UK and as I travel around I find that in many parts of the world the UK is now seen as a buying opportunity because of the depreciation of the currency and the fact that fundamentally we are still a large market with 65 million affluent consumers."

7. Cutaway of panel

8. SOUNDBITE: (English) Philip Hammond, British Chancellor of the Exchequer: ++INCLUDES SIDE SHOT OF HAMMOND SPEAKING++

"The UK will maintain its competitiveness, it has to maintain its competitiveness. My strong preference and my Prime Minister's strong preference, is that we maintain our competitiveness by maintaining, by remaining within the European economic mainstream, with access to the European markets and on a reciprocal basis access for our European neighbours to our markets, continuing to operate to European norms and European regulatory standards. That is our strong preference. But if we are driven out of that market, if we are denied access to our most important market, we will for sure reinvent ourselves and create another way of being competitive, just as right now with a lower productivity, lower labour productivity than our European neighbours, we maintain our competitiveness by working longer hours."

9. Wide of panel

10. SOUNDBITE: (English) Haruhiko Kuroda, Governor of the Bank of Japan: ++INCLUDES WIDE SHOT OF KURODA SPEAKING++

"In addition to these improvements in the global economy, with low interest rates under the Bank of Japan (inaudible) control as well as planned, large scale fiscal stimulus by the government, by the way also very structural reforms including the labour market reform the government has been implementing, Japan's economy, I think, will grow around 1.5 percent, well above its potential in the current fiscal year and the next fiscal year. As Japan's firms become more proactive, taking advantage of the favourable economic and financial environment, Japan's economy is likely to head toward a sustainable growth path under the 2 percent price stability target."

11. Audience applauding

12. Panel leaving

STORYLINE:

British Chancellor Philip Hammond reiterated on Friday that if Britain is denied access to the European Single Market post-Brexit through a free trade deal it will "reinvent" to remain competitive.

Speaking at a panel at the World Economic Forum in Davos, he said Britain was already demonstrating that despite having lower productivity than its European counterparts it was still competitive "by working longer hours."

Hammond added that others around the world were seeing the UK as a buying opportunity due to the currency devaluation and its large internal market and that several companies that were not bound by European trade barriers, such as Google, Apple and Japan's Softbank had made large investments in the UK since the referendum.

German Chancellor Wolfgang Schauble meanwhile said the eurozone was doing better and effects of Brexit would likely not be felt in 2017, but pointed to an uncertain geopolitical environment and potential problems in trade which could reverse the upward trend in the common currency area.

International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde also spoke of an overall favourable economic outlook but questioned the potentially negative long-term effects of combined US fiscal and trade policies which would likely spillover to affect other economies.

Against a backdrop of overall improvements in the global economy paired with structural and labour reforms, the governor of the Bank of Japan said his country's economy was expected to grow by 1.5 percent "well above its potential in the current fiscal year and the next fiscal year. "

He said the trend was likely to persist leading to "a sustainable growth path under the 2 percent price stability target."

===========================================================

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Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May met on Friday with her New Zealand counterpart, Bill English, at 10 Downing Street on Friday.

Trade and security were top of the agenda as Britain is preparing to leave the European Union.

Both leaders touched on a potential Free Trade Agreement to strengthen ties.

May said the UK's International Trade Secretary, Liam Fox, would visit the Commonwealth nation in the coming months to begin a bilateral dialogue with the ultimate aim of striking a trade deal.

English is on his first international trip since taking office after former Prime Minister John Key's surprise resignation in December 2016.

UK POOL

London - 13 January 2017

1. Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May and Prime Minister of New Zealand Bill English walking towards 10 Downing Street, zoom into photo op in front of door, leaders entering building, pull out to wide

2. May and English approaching podium for joint news conference

++BLACK FRAMES++

3. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, Britain's Prime Minister:

"As the UK leaves the EU and forges a new role in the world, we want to strengthen relations with partners like New Zealand. So today we've talked about Brexit and the opportunity it presents to deepen our bilateral ties, increasing our trade relationship and continuing our close security cooperation. I'd like to say a few words on each."

++BLACK FRAMES++

4. SOUNDBITE (English) Bill English, Prime Minister of New Zealand:

"Our relationship will remain strong once the UK leaves the European Union, and it will continue to forge our ties. We are here to work with both the UK and the EU and we are ready to negotiate a high quality Free Trade Agreement with the UK when it is in the position to do so. We already have a strong and diversified trade and relationship with the UK and a Free Trade Agreement will build on that."

5. Leaders leaving

The current hot issues like Brexit and anti-terrorism financing are going to be discussed at the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting, said officials attending the two-day meeting in southwest China's Chengdu City over the weekend.

The United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union is regarded a reflection of the tendency that Western major economies, with the U.S. and European Union included, are inclined to move away from their stance of supporting economic globalization to a relative isolationism.

"Migration issue is not having such a direct impact on the growth, in fact in some cases it may become an element of more demand. But Brexit was disruptive in the sense that it was not expected. It's going to take a few years to digest," said Angel Gurria, Secretary-General of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

How to realize the sustainable growth of the global economy against the backdrop of worldwide slowing economic growth, with the global trade growth rate declining in three consecutive years, is an important issue to be discussed at the meeting.

"We recognize that the globalization, that the trade liberalization has positive impacts globally. We also recognize that we need to ensure that those positive impacts impact citizens in a positive way. It gives them more optimism about the future. It will certainly be talking about over the course of the next couple of days," said Bill Morneau, Canada's Finance Minister.

He also mentioned that the frequent terrorist attacks in recent days make anti-terrorism financing another hot topic at the meeting.

"One of the issues that was already on our agenda was looking into how we can ensure that there's safeguards against money going into terrorist organizations. That will be discussion with even more urgency based on what's emerging right now," said the Canadian Finance Minister.

The current hot issues like Brexit and anti-terrorism financing are going to be discussed at the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting, said officials attending the two-day meeting in southwest China's Chengdu City over the weekend.

The United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union is regarded a reflection of the tendency that Western major economies, with the U.S. and European Union included, are inclined to move away from their stance of supporting economic globalization to a relative isolationism.

"Migration issue is not having such a direct impact on the growth, in fact in some cases it may become an element of more demand. But Brexit was disruptive in the sense that it was not expected. It's going to take a few years to digest," said Angel Gurria, Secretary-General of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

How to realize the sustainable growth of the global economy against the backdrop of worldwide slowing economic growth, with the global trade growth rate declining in three consecutive years, is an important issue to be discussed at the meeting.

"We recognize that the globalization, that the trade liberalization has positive impacts globally. We also recognize that we need to ensure that those positive impacts impact citizens in a positive way. It gives them more optimism about the future. It will certainly be talking about over the course of the next couple of days," said Bill Morneau, Canada's Finance Minister.

He also mentioned that the frequent terrorist attacks in recent days make anti-terrorism financing another hot topic at the meeting.

"One of the issues that was already on our agenda was looking into how we can ensure that there's safeguards against money going into terrorist organizations. That will be discussion with even more urgency based on what's emerging right now," said the Canadian Finance Minister.

FILE: New York City, USA - Exact Date Unknown

1. Various of buildings; tourists on street

Chengdu City, Sichuan Province, southwest China – July 23, 2016

2. SOUNDBITE (English) Angel Gurria, Secretary-General, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) (starting with shot 1/ending with shots 3-4)

"Migration issue is not having such a direct impact on the growth, in fact in some cases it may become an element of more demand. But Brexit was disruptive in the sense that it was not expected. It's going to take a few years to digest."

FILE: Hong Kong, China - Exact Date Unknown

3. Aerial of buildings

FILE: London, UK - Exact Date Unknown

4. Various of buildings

FILE: China - Exact Date Unknown

5. RMB notes being counted

Chengdu City, Sichuan Province, southwest China – July 23, 2016

6. SOUNDBITE (English) Bill Morneau, Canadian Finance Minister (ending with shot 7):

"We recognize that the globalization, that the trade liberalization has positive impacts globally. We also recognize that we need to ensure that those positive impacts impact citizens in a positive way. It gives them more optimism about the future. It will certainly be talked about over the course of the next couple of days."

FILE: USA - Exact Date Unknown

7. Various of buildings

FILE: China - Exact Date Unknown

8. Various of people working on computer

FILE: Washington, USA - Exact Date Unknown

9. Various of White House, cars, people

Chengdu City, Sichuan Province, southwest China – July 23, 2016

10. SOUNDBITE (English) Bill Morneau, Canadian Finance Minister (starting with shot 9/ending with shot 11):

"One of the issues that was already on our agenda was looking into how we can ensure that there's safeguards against money going into terrorist organizations. That will be discussion with even more urgency based on what's emerging right now."

FILE: London, UK - Exact Date Unknown

11. Various of buildings

Proud to be British - but with a lot of help from India.

UK engineering firm Renishaw has been using Indian-manufactured parts for products like their 3D printer for years.

And they hope that an upcoming trade mission this week will help strengthen ties between the two countries.

"We make some very high quality products in India that we then export back to the UK for assembly into our products that are then again re-exported to anywhere else in the world," said Rhydian Pountney, director of sales and marketing at Renishaw.

"So when it comes to negotiations between the UK and India, clearly we want to see the minimum amount of barriers – whether they be tariff or non-tariff. Any easing, simplification of that is going to be most welcome."

The trip, led by British Prime Minister Theresa May, is hoped to lay the foundations of a new era in UK-India trade.

It's May's first major bilateral trip since she assumed control of the government after Britain voted to leave the European Union this summer.

But some believe the trip will be dominated by exercising damage control - an attempt to counter the negative impact of a Brexit vote.

"Partly this is going to be about PR and particularly about the whole rhetoric around Brexit," said Professor Jaideep Prabhu, director of Centre for India and Global Business at Cambridge University's Judge Business School.

"People might expect that there's going to be some kind of free trade treaty happening sometime soon between India and the UK, but I don't think that's going to happen very quickly because those are very complex."

That may dampen the mood of many pro-Brexit voices in the UK who campaigned on the belief that being outside of the EU would more easily allow bilateral trade agreements between the UK and emerging markets like India.

But despite the complexity of negotiating such agreements, critics of May's government say roadblocks to any future UK-India trade deal can be boiled down quite simply.

"I think it will be very, very difficult for the British government to make any headway in discussions with India unless we're willing to adopt a more relaxed approach to visas," said Vince Cable, former UK Business Secretary.

He cites the now stalled EU-India trade talks that he says were stumped by the UK's refusal to allow New Delhi's calls for relaxed immigration rules.

Since Theresa May placed stricter rules on student visas, the Indian student immigration population to the UK has more than halved, from 40,000 in 2010-11 to less than 20,000 in 2014-15.

For Indian entrepreneurs like Chitresh Sharma, this issue is only too familiar.

After studying in Glasgow and starting a business that now employs more than 40 people, he is unsure if he will even be able to stay in the country long-term.

In Britain on an entrepreneur visa, he needs to hit particular targets within five years to guarantee staying in the country.

He's on track, he says. But it's hard.

And to grow his business, he needs to look outside of the UK talent pool for employees.

The best place to look? India.

But for now, he has put his plans for attracting Indian tech talent to his start-up on hold.

He'll wait it out, he says, until things become a little clearer.

Theresa May leaves for her three-day trip to India on November 6.

Wotton-under-Edge – 4 November 2016

1. Various of machines operating at UK engineering firm Renishaw's headquarters

2. Various of Rhydian Pountney, director of sales and marketing at Renishaw

3. SOUNDBITE (English) Rhydian Pountney, director of sales and marketing at Renishaw:

"We make some very high quality products in India that we then export back to the UK for assembly into our products that are then again re-exported to anywhere else in the world. So when it comes to negotiations between the UK and India, clearly we want to see the minimum amount of barriers – whether they be tariff or non-tariff. Any easing, simplification of that is going to be most welcome."

4. Various of 3D printer operating

London – 4 November 2016

5. Wide tilt down of Professor Jaideep Prabhu, director of Centre for India and Global Business, Judge Business School, University of Cambridge

6. SOUNDBITE (English) Professor Jaideep Prabhu, director of Centre for India and Global Business, Judge Business School, University of Cambridge:

"Trade between India and the UK is somewhat disappointing. Given the historical links between the two countries, the large Indian diaspora here, common language, legal system and so on, you would expect much more trade. In 2014, if you looked at exports from the UK to India, they are on the order of 8 billion and India was 13th in the list of top exporters from the UK, way down the list from the US, which is at the top with something like 80 billion, or even China, with about 18 billion."

7. Cutaway

8. SOUNDBITE (English) Professor Jaideep Prabhu, director of Centre for India and Global Business, Judge Business School, University of Cambridge:

"Partly this is going to be about PR and particularly about the rhetoric around Brexit and looking to the wider world for trade possibilities. So people might expect that there's going to be some kind of free trade treaty happening sometime soon between India and the UK. I don't think that's going to happen very quickly because those are very complex. The groundwork may be laid for that."

London – 3 November 2016

9. Various of former UK Business Secretary Vince Cable, in interview

10. SOUNDBITE (English) Vince Cable, former UK Business Secretary:

"I think it will be very, very difficult for the British government to make any headway in discussions with India unless we're willing to adopt a more relaxed approach to visas. I mean it's very clear. I was involved for five years in the negotiations involving the European Union and India – trying to encourage the negotiations, and the problem was it run into the buffers partly because of problems on the Indian side, but mainly because of the British. It wasn't because the other European countries were holding us back, it was because of British objections."

11. Various of start-up company Swipii and Indian co-founder Chitresh Sharma showing how app works

12. SOUNDBITE (English) Chitresh Sharma, co-founder of start-up Swipii:

"Our company employs roughly over 40 people, in just under three years, and I myself am on an entrepreneur visa. And I have really high targets to hit, in order to even get a permanent residence."

13. Various of employees at Swipii in London office

14. SOUNDBITE (English) Chitresh Sharma, co-founder of start-up Swipii:

"We struggle to find some particular specialists in the UK to get our job done and ultimately we have to contract it to companies in India doing it on a consultative basis. Which not always translates – the communication, probably because they are so far away, time difference is a problem, the money involved in paying someone here would be far cheaper than actually having to manage a company there. So yeah, we are still looking for people but I don't know with Brexit happening how the rules and regulations are going to dictate so we have put that to rest and we are just trying to use the current pool of talent as much as we can."

15. Various of Swipii office in start-up accelerator space

French President Francois Hollande met with New Zealand Prime Minister John Key at the Elysee Palace.

The two men discussed the prospects of a Free Trade Agreement between New Zealand and the European Union, with Key saying this could be in place by 2018.

Key said that while New Zealand's exposure to Britain and the EU is limited, the country could be affected by Brexit, given China's relationship with the EU and New Zealand's exposure to China.

Key was among Hollande's foreign guests of honour during this year's Bastille Day Parade.

French President Francois Hollande met with New Zealand Prime Minister John Key at the Elysee Palace.

The two men discussed the prospects of a Free Trade Agreement between New Zealand and the European Union, with Key saying this could be in place by 2018.

Key said that while New Zealand's exposure to Britain and the EU is limited, the country could be affected by Brexit, given China's relationship with the EU and New Zealand's exposure to China.

Key was among Hollande's foreign guests of honour during this year's Bastille Day Parade.

AGENCY POOL

Paris - 14 July 2016

1. Exterior of Elysee Palace

2. Honour Guard

3. French President Francois Hollande waiting for New Zealand Prime Minister John Key to arrive

4. Key's car arrives

5. Key shakes hands with Hollande

6. Interior shots of Key, Hollande and their delegations

7. SOUNDBITE (English) John Key, Prime Minister of New Zealand:

"(We had) a good discussion about the free trade agreement. The President is really quite forward-leaning now on where that's going with New Zealand, and quite keen to demonstrate, actually, that the European Union is in a position to sign free trade agreements and do so maybe at a faster pace than had been previously thought."

8. Cutaway of EU and French flags

9. SOUNDBITE (English) John Key, Prime Minister of New Zealand:

"We come away from this visit in quite optimistic, actually, about where the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) negotiations will go. At the moment commissions are going through the process of speaking to all of the 28 member states, but we hope to start the more formal and detailed negotiations early in 2017 and hopefully look to an objective of signing an FTA maybe by the end of 2017 or early in 2018."

10. Cutaway of guards

11. SOUNDBITE (English) John Key, Prime Minister of New Zealand:

"Our exposure to both United Kingdom and to Europe is much smaller than, for instance, our exposure to Australia or China. But China has a very significant relationship with the EU, so if there were to be financial issues in the European Union as a result of Brexit, or just other broader issues, that indirectly flows to New Zealand."

12. Cutaway of flags

13. SOUNDBITE (English) John Key, Prime Minister of New Zealand:

"One thing that is coming through with all the European leaders that we have met, because of course we met (Italian) Prime Minister (Matteo) Renzi yesterday in Rome, is that there is a real focus, actually, on the fact that Europe does need to change and needs to really start tackling some of those issues of youth unemployment, and that it can't afford to let the austerity measures that they've had washing over Europe for a long period of time now, continue to drag economic growth down. So, I think the leaders are focussed on Brexit but also on what the messages might be for their own countries and for the European Union as a whole."

14. French flag flying

Britain's membership of the European Union means it is "more secure from crime and terrorism," British Home Secretary Theresa May argued in a speech on Monday.

It was May's first major speech since backing the campaign for Britain to remain a member of EU.

She said Britain had "avoided the worst of migration crisis that has hit continental Europe" because it was not part of the Schengen borderless area.

Meanwhile, the Mayor of London, Boris Johnson - a backer of the campaign for Britain to leave the EU, also known as "Brexit" - dismissed suggestions that Britain cannot cope if it leaves the 28 nation bloc.

Britain will hold a referendum on continued membership of the EU on 23 June.

Britain's membership of the European Union means it is "more secure from crime and terrorism," British Home Secretary Theresa May argued in a speech on Monday.

It was May's first major speech since backing the campaign for Britain to remain a member of EU.

She said Britain had "avoided the worst of migration crisis that has hit continental Europe" because it was not part of the Schengen borderless area.

Meanwhile, the Mayor of London, Boris Johnson - a backer of the campaign for Britain to leave the EU, also known as "Brexit" - dismissed suggestions that Britain cannot cope if it leaves the 28 nation bloc.

Britain will hold a referendum on continued membership of the EU on 23 June.

UK POOL

London - 25 April 2016

1. British Home Secretary Theresa May arriving to deliver speech in favour of Britain remaining in the European Union (EU) ++MUTE++

2. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, UK Home Secretary:

"Now I know that some people say the EU (European Union) does not make as more secure because it does not allow us to control our border. But that is not true. Free movement rules means it is harder to control the volume of European immigration and as I said yesterday, that is clearly no good thing. But they do not mean we cannot control the border. The fact that we are not part of Schengen (area), the group of countries without border checks, means we have avoided the worst of migration crisis that has hit continental Europe over the last year. It means we can conduct checks on people travelling to Britain from elsewhere in Europe and, subject to certain rules and the availability of information, it means we can block entry for serious criminals and terrorists."

++BLACK FRAMES++

3. SOUNDBITE (English) Boris Johnson, Mayor of London (backing campaign for Britain to leave the EU):

"We've been told we have to go to the back of the queue, that seems to me to be ridiculous when you consider that actually the real reason we haven't been able to do a free-trade deal with the United States in the last 43 years is that we are part of the EU."

++BLACK FRAMES++

4. SOUNDBITE (English) Boris Johnson, Mayor of London (backing campaign for Britain to leave the EU):

"73 per cent of the non-EU trade we do at the moment is done without any kind of trade deal whatever, so first to be sort of bullied in this way, I don't want to exaggerate - for people to say that we are going to be unable to cope on our own I think is absoultely wrong."

++ENDS ON SOUNDBITE++

RESTRICTION SUMMARY: AP CLIENTS ONLY

SHOTLIST:

RTL - AP CLIENTS ONLY

Berlin - 16 November 2017

1. UK Secretary of State for exiting the European Union, David Davis, walking to lectern

2. SOUNDBITE (English) David Davis, UK Secretary of State for exiting the European Union:

"Hand in hand with our closest allies and partners, our determination to defend the stability, security, and prosperity of the European continent remains steadfast. Because the threats the European people face are the same, whether they're attending a pop concert in Manchester, Christmas market in Berlin, or simply using public trasport in Brussels, Madrid, and London. Britain always has and always will stand with its friends and allies in defence of those values that we share."

++BLACK FRAMES++

3. SOUNDBITE (English) David Davis, UK Secretary of State for exiting the European Union:

"So we don't pretend that you can have all the benefits of membership of the single market without its obligations. However we are seeking a new framework that allows for a close economic partnership. But that holds those rights and obligations in a new and different balance."

++BLACK FRAMES++

4. SOUNDBITE (English) David Davis, UK Secretary of State for exiting the European Union:

We'll be a third country partner like no other. Much closer than Canada, much bigger than Norway, and uniquely integrated in everything from energy networks to services. The key pillar of this will be a deep and comprehensive free trade agreement, the scope of which shall be beyond any that the European Union has agreed before."

++BLACK FRAMES++

5. SOUNDBITE (English) David Davis, UK Secretary of State for exiting the European Union:

"After Brexit, Britain will have an independent trade policy. And we will use it to lead a race to the top, on quality and standards across the globe. A race that both Britain and Germany are well equipped to win."

++BLACK FRAMES++

STORYLINE:

The UK Secretary of State for exiting the European Union said on Thursday that Britain is seeking a "new framework" that will allow it to have a closer economic partnership with EU member states after Brexit.

Speaking in Berlin, David Davis said the UK will have a new independent trade policy following its departure from the Customs Union, which will "lead a race to the top."

===========================================================

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The European Union Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmstrom on Monday delivered a keynote speech at Beijing's University of International Business and Economics,

Malstrom is in Beijing to have talks with Chinese officials on investment agreements.

In her speech, the commissioner said that free trade between China and the EU would have to follow a proper investment agreement that will unify all the existing investment agreements between member states and China.

She also addressed the issue of Brexit, saying that all agreements between third countries and the EU, including the UK, would not be affected because of the referendum result.

The European Union Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmstrom on Monday delivered a keynote speech at Beijing's University of International Business and Economics,

Malstrom is in Beijing to have talks with Chinese officials on investment agreements.

In her speech, the commissioner said that free trade between China and the EU would have to follow a proper investment agreement that will unify all the existing investment agreements between member states and China.

She also addressed the issue of Brexit, saying that all agreements between third countries and the EU, including the UK, would not be affected because of the referendum result.

Beijing - 11 July 2016

1. Wide of conference room with European Union Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmstrom at lectern

2. SOUNDBITE (English) Cecilia Malmstrom, EU Trade Commissioner:

"And our comprehensive agreement on investment that we are negotiating is aiming to boost investment, that is good for both of us. And it would do that by levelling the playing field between foreign and domestic investors, improving EU's access to the Chinese market. It will create one single arrangement covering all investment between the EU and China."

3. Cutaway

4. SOUNDBITE (English) Cecilia Malmstrom, EU Trade Commissioner

"United Kingdom is a country that has in its history always said yes to globalisation, it has always has been a country that has been very open to trade and international contacts, and that will remain, whatever, I would say. So I do not think that will have a consequence, and I do not think that it will have a consequence on the European Union's engagements either, because we are committed to continue all our existing and future relationships that we have, to develop them, to make them deeper. And also to show to our citizens that it is beneficial to have these contacts."

5. Cutaway

6. End of meeting

Theresa May on Wednesday faced her first Prime Minister's Questions session in the UK's House of Commons.

May became leader of the governing British Conservative Party and therefore Prime Minister last week.

She told lawmakers that her government would negotiate "the right deal and the best deal" on trade as Britain prepares to leave the European Union (EU).

May also said she was "willing to listen to arguments" from Scotland, where voters wanted to remain in the EU.

Following a question on the Nice truck attack, the new PM reiterated that though the UK is leaving the EU, it is "not leaving Europe" and would continue to support its allies in tough times.

On immigration, a key issue in the pre-referendum debate on whether Britain should leave the EU, May said it would "take some time" to reach government targets for sustainable levels.

Theresa May on Wednesday faced her first Prime Minister's Questions session in the UK's House of Commons.

May became leader of the governing British Conservative Party and therefore Prime Minister last week.

She told lawmakers that her government would negotiate "the right deal and the best deal" on trade as Britain prepares to leave the European Union (EU).

May also said she was "willing to listen to arguments" from Scotland, where voters wanted to remain in the EU.

Following a question on the Nice truck attack, the new PM reiterated that though the UK is leaving the EU, it is "not leaving Europe" and would continue to support its allies in tough times.

On immigration, a key issue in the pre-referendum debate on whether Britain should leave the EU, May said it would "take some time" to reach government targets for sustainable levels.

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London - 20 July 2016

1. Wide of House of Commons

2. Speaker of the House of Commons John Bercow

3. SOUNDBITE (English) Sir Edward Leigh, British Conservative Party lawmaker:

"Will the prime minister make my day special by saying she is prepared to reject staying in the (EU's) single, regulated market and offering instead to our friends in Europe a free trade deal very much in their interests? Let's take back control."

4. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, British Prime Minister:

++SOUNDBITE PART OVERLAID WITH SHOT OF LAWMAKERS++

"I'm very clear Brexit does mean Brexit. As he says, we will make a success of it. What we need to do in negotiating the deal is to ensure that we listen to what people have said about the need for controls on free movement, but we also negotiate the right deal and the best deal of trade in goods and services for the British people."

5. SOUNDBITE (English) Angus Robertson, Scottish National Party (SNP) Westminster group leader:

++SOUNDBITE ENDS ON WIDE OF HOUSE OF COMMONS++

"Will she (May) do everything to ensure that remain means remain (in the EU) for Scotland?

6. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, British Prime Minister:

++SOUNDBITE ENDS ON SHOT OF LAWMAKERS++

"I was very pleased that my first trip was a trip to Scotland and that I was able to do that so early in my premiership. As I've been very clear, the union (of the UK) is very important to me. And I was also clear with the first minister (Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon) that I think there are some ideas that are being put forward that are impractical but I am willing to listen to the options that are brought forward and we will be engaging fully with all the devolved administrations."

7. House of Commons

8. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, British Prime Minister:

++SOUNDBITE HAS SHOT ANGLE CHANGE++

"We continue to work with the French authorities both in the…obviously in the aftermath of that attack (in Nice). But my honorable friend is right, we need to continue our security cooperation with France and indeed other European countries. We will not be cowed by terrorists. We share…we both face the same threats and we need to work together in order to defeat those threats and I can absolutely confirm that yes, the United Kingdom will leave the European Union, but the United Kingdom is not leaving Europe and our cooperation will continue.

Theresa May on Wednesday faced her first Prime Minister's Questions session in the UK's House of Commons.

May became leader of the governing British Conservative Party and therefore Prime Minister last week.

She told lawmakers that her government would negotiate "the right deal and the best deal" on trade as Britain prepares to leave the European Union (EU).

May also said she was "willing to listen to arguments" from Scotland, where voters wanted to remain in the EU.

Following a question on the Nice truck attack, the new PM reiterated that though the UK is leaving the EU, it is "not leaving Europe" and would continue to support its allies in tough times.

On immigration, a key issue in the pre-referendum debate on whether Britain should leave the EU, May said it would "take some time" to reach government targets for sustainable levels.

Parliamentary Recording Unit

London - 20 July 2016

1. Prime Minister's Questions session held in British lower house of parliament (House of Commons)

2. SOUNDBITE (English) Sir Edward Leigh, British Conservative Party lawmaker:

"Will the prime minister make my day special by saying she is prepared to reject staying in the (EU's) single, regulated market and offering instead to our friends in Europe a free trade deal very much in their interests? Let's take back control."

3. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, British Prime Minister:

++SOUNDBITE PART OVERLAID WITH SHOT OF LAWMAKERS++

"I'm very clear Brexit does mean Brexit. As he says, we will make a success of it. What we need to do in negotiating the deal is to ensure that we listen to what people have said about the need for controls on free movement, but we also negotiate the right deal and the best deal of trade in goods and services for the British people."

4. SOUNDBITE (English) Angus Robertson, Scottish National Party (SNP) Westminster group leader:

++SOUNDBITE ENDS ON WIDE OF HOUSE OF COMMONS++

"Will she (May) do everything to ensure that remain means remain (in the EU) for Scotland?

5. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, British Prime Minister:

++SOUNDBITE ENDS ON SHOT OF LAWMAKERS++

"I was very pleased that my first trip was a trip to Scotland and that I was able to do that so early in my premiership. As I've been very clear, the union (of the UK) is very important to me. And I was also clear with the first minister (Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon) that I think there are some ideas that are being put forward that are impractical but I am willing to listen to the options that are brought forward and we will be engaging fully with all the devolved administrations."

6. House of Commons

7. SOUNDBITE (English) Daniel Kawczynski, British Conservative Party lawmaker:

++SOUNDBITE HAS SHOT ANGLE CHANGE++

"Will the prime minister update the house on how the security collaboration between our two countries (referring to UK and France) can help prevent such attacks in the future and reassure the French people that although we are leaving the European Union, the close links between our two countries will remain steadfast?"

8. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, British Prime Minister:

++SOUNDBITE HAS SHOT ANGLE CHANGE++

"We continue to work with the French authorities both in the…obviously in the aftermath of that attack (in Nice). But my honourable friend is right, we need to continue our security cooperation with France and indeed other European countries. We will not be cowed by terrorists. We share…we both face the same threats and we need to work together in order to defeat those threats and I can absolutely confirm that yes, the United Kingdom will leave the European Union, but the United Kingdom is not leaving Europe and our cooperation will continue.

9. House of Commons, former British Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne visible on backbenches

10. SOUNDBITE (English) Philip Davies, British Conservative Party lawmaker:

"Can the prime minister reassure the people of Yorkshire (region that Davies represents) that when we finally do leave the European Union, she will insist on keeping her original promise to get the immigration figures in this country down into the tens of thousands?"

11. SOUNDBITE (English) Theresa May, British Prime Minister:

++SOUNDBITE HAS SHOT ANGLE CHANGE++

"I say to my honourable friend that I am very clear that the vote that was taken in this country on 23 June sent a very clear message about immigration. That people want control of free movement from the European Union and that is precisely what we will be doing and ensuring that we get in the negotiations that we will be undertaking. I also remain absolutely firm in my belief that we need to bring net migration down to sustainable levels, the government believes that that is tens of thousands. It will take some time to get there but of course now we have the added aspect of those controls that we can bring in relation to people moving from the European Union."

12. House of Commons

WORLD 2017 PREDICTIONS

SOURCE: AP HORIZONS, LIFESTYLE, HEALTH AND TECHNOLOGY/POOL

RESTRICTIONS: HORIZONS CLIENTS AND AP LIFESTYLE, HEALTH AND TECHNOLOGY CLIENTS ONLY

LENGTH: 7:28

SHOTLIST:

AP Television

New York - 9 November 2016

1. Various of Trump fans celebrating

2. Wide of Trump and his family

3. Woman celebrating Trump's win

4. Trump and family walking on stage

5. People cheering Trump

6. Trump shaking hands with Mike Pence

Miami - 11 November 2016

7. Various of anti-Trump protests

New York - 1 December 2016

8. SOUNDBITE (English) Beth Ann Bovino, Chief U.S. Economist, S&P Global Ratings:

"In terms of the impact of the Trump presidency on growth, you have to keep in mind that right now campaign promises are just what they are, promises, they are not policies. So let's see what happens in terms of how they get through Congress and whether.. and basically what comes out at the end."

Washington - recent

9. Exterior of US Capitol

New York, US - 13 June 2014

10. New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) floor

US - Exact date and location unknown

11. Man filling up car at petrol station

New York - 1 December 2016

12. SOUNDBITE (English) Beth Ann Bovino, Chief U.S. Economist, S&P Global Ratings:

"If you look at the job gains now averaging around 180,000 per month for the year to date and the unemployment rate under 5 percent we have a rather strong jobs market, so in terms of actually pushing the unemployment rate down even further and strengthening the jobs market that might actually result in stronger inflation as well, making the fed likely having to move further."

Moscow, Russia — December 15, 2016

13. Various of Kremlin

14. Various of political analyst Masha Lipman looking at computer

15. SOUNDBITE (English) Masha Lipman, political analyst:

"We used to say that Putin is unpredictable and keeps his intentions and his plans as secret. Now we have at least one more person, who is unpredictable and this is the President of the United States - President-elect at this point, but of course in 2017, he will become the President of the United States. We still know very little about his policies. His appointments leave many shocked and speechless even, shaking heads in this belief. But what his policies are going to be is an open question. "

Aleppo, Syria - 15 December 2016

16. Wide of Aleppo outskirts

17. Wide of buses parked near evacuation area

18. Various of United Nations vehicles parked near evacuation centre

Bartella, Iraq - 21 October 2016

19. Various of Bartella, east of Mosul during fight against IS group

20. Various of Iraqi Special Forces

Cairo, Egypt - 13 December 2016

21. Set up of Dr. Saeed Sadek Political Sociology Professor at Future university in Cairo at office

22. SOUNDBITE (English) Saeed Sadek, Political Sociology Professor at Future university in Cairo:

"The only problem for the Iraqi people is of course they have this ethnic and religion sectarian conflict may continue and erupt here and there from fanatics on both sides, corruption and oil prices will also affect the Iraqi economy for 2017."

London, UK - 13 July 2016

23. Various of British flag on parliament

UK Pool

London - 27 June 2016

24. British PM Teresa May ( formerly Home Secretary) arriving at 10 Downing Street

AP Television

Berlin, Germany - 12 July 2016

25. Various of German newspaper headlines about Teresa May

26. Various of German Chancellor Angela Merkel

Berlin - 1 December 2016

27. Various of the German Parliament building (Bundestag)

28. Thorsten Benner, director of the Global Public Policy Institute (GPPi) in Berlin, in his office

29. SOUNDBITE: (English), Thorsten Benner, director of the Global Public Policy Institute (GPPi) in Berlin:

"The AFD (Alternative Fuer Deutschland) is actually taking away quite a few voters from the Christian Democrats. And it is a very unfortunate thing for Merkel to have a party formed to her right. That indeed is a vital threat to her political ambitions."

Surat, India - 5 December 2016

30. Various of men working in Indian diamond factory

New Delhi, India – 3 December 2016

31. Various of economist Veena Jha in her office

32. SOUNDBITE (English) Veena Jha, Economist:

"India has to consolidate its trade relationships within Asia. It has to look to Europe, without Britain, for a strong trade relationship. It has to solidify its relationships, particularly, with Germany, Netherlands, and France, which are the largest markets. It has to look to the US for an Indo-US free trade agreement and kind of a strategic partnership which has been talked about but has not been inked."

New Delhi, India – 7 November 2016

33. British Prime Minister Theresa May shakes hands with her Indian counterpart Narendra Modi during her official visit to India

Surat, India - 5 December 2016

34. Various street scenes in Surat

Rojama Mayong Village, Assam, India – 18 November 2016

35. A woman waiting to exchange defunct currency bills at a bank

Beijing, China - 30 November 2016

36. Various of Chinese Feng Shui master and astrologist Dong Yilin

37. SOUNDBITE (Mandarin) Dong Yilin, Chinese Feng Shui Master and Astrologist:

"In the year of the rooster, the Heavenly Stem (in Yi Qing) is fire and the Earthly Branch is gold and they are struggling with each other. It's like a process of burning gold and beating it into a craftwork. The craftwork is beautiful but it has to go through enormous hardships. Therefore, in the year of 2017, we will see many "turmoils" not only in China but also many other parts of the world like Europe and the US."

38. Close of compass

LEADIN

2016 has been a year of upheavals and upsets that some would prefer to forget.

So what can we expect in 2017? Will the year of the rooster change the world pecking order or will it be business as usual?

While analysts are mixed on what lies ahead, one Chinese fortune teller says the world can expect "turmoil".

STORYLINE

It was a result few people predicted, but one which will play a major role in shaping the year ahead.

Donald Trump's inauguration as the 45th US President will be held on January 20th and it's expected to draw people of all persuasions to Washington whether it's to celebrate or commiserate.

His stunning election win sparked numerous protests, and it's provoked widespread speculation about the impact that some of his controversial campaign promises might have when he takes office in 2017.

Chief U.S. Economist with S&P Global Ratings, Beth Ann Bovino says there's still some uncertainty over what path he will take.

"In terms of the impact of the Trump presidency on growth, you have to keep in mind that right now campaign promises are just what they are, promises, they are not policies. So let's see what happens in terms of how they get through Congress and whether.. and basically what comes out at the end."

If there are no major shocks to the economy, growth is expected to be around 2.5 percent and more interest rate rises are likely, according to Bovino.

"If you look at the job gains now averaging around 180,000 per month for the year to date and the unemployment rate under 5 percent we have a rather strong jobs market, so in terms of pushing the unemployment rate down even further and strengthening the jobs market that might actually result in stronger inflation as well, making the fed likely having to move further," she says.

In light of CIA accusations of Russian hacking, Trump's relations with the Kremlin will come into focus in January.

The Senate Foreign Relations Committee plans to hold an open hearing that will examine possible Russian meddling in November's presidential election.

Political analyst Masha Lipman says there are signs Moscow's relationship with Washington will thaw, but adds that both leaders are not giving much away just yet.

"We used to say that Putin is unpredictable and keeps his intentions and his plans as secret. Now we have at least one more person, who is unpredictable and this is the president of the United States — President-elect at this point, but of course in 2017, he will become the president of the United States. We still know very little about his policies. His appointments leave many shocked and speechless even, shaking heads in disbelief. But what his policies are going to be is an open question."

Lipman says the ongoing civil war in Syria means Trump and President Putin will need to make some tough choices.

Syria has been torn apart by more than five years of war - at the moment both countries support different sides.

Over the border, the Iraqi special forces are still battling the Islamic State group, also known as Daesh.

UK Defence Secretary Michael Fallon says that "Daesh is now failing and controls less than 10 percent of Iraqi territory."

Political Sociology Professor at Future university in Cairo, Saeed Sadek says even if Daesh is eventually defeated, Iraq could still face many challenges.

"The only problem for the Iraqi people is off course they have this ethnic and religion sectarian conflict may continue and erupt here and there from fanatics on both sides corruption and oil prices will also affect the Iraqi economy for 2017," he says.

2017 will also see Britain set the wheels in motion for its exit from the European Union.

Prime Minister Teresa May has set a March deadline to start Brexit and will face 2 years of tense debate as she tries to get the UK the best deals on trade.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel says Britain faces "rough" and "hard" negotiation. But Merkel also faces a fight for her own survival with elections later in the year.

Germany will elect the members of the Bundestag, as the German parliament is called, after the summer in 2017.

Merkel's Christian Democrats are currently in a coalition government with the Social Democrats (SPD).

However, the Global Public Policy Institute (GPPI) in Berlin says there has been a right wing backlash because of her policy welcoming Syrian refugees.

"The AFD (Alternative Fuer Deutschland) party is actually taking away quite a few voters from the Christian Democrats. And it is a very unfortunate thing for Merkel to have a party formed to her right. That indeed is a vital threat to her political ambitions," says GPPI director Thorsten Benner.

While the West slows, the one jewel in the world economic crown is likely to be India as its growth outperforms the rest of the world.

Veena Jha, an economist and policy analyst, says India's economy is now growing faster than China and the country must seek new markets.

She says Britain could be the biggest loser because Brexit will slow Indian investment in the UK as it looks elsewhere.

"India has to consolidate its trade relationships within Asia. It has to look to Europe, without Britain, for a strong trade relationship. It has to solidify its relationships, particularly, with Germany, Netherlands, and France, which are the largest markets. It has to look to the US for an Indo-US free trade agreement and kind of a strategic partnership which has been talked about but has not been inked."

However there could be hiccups as Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi moves towards a cashless society, promoting digital transactions instead to curb the black market.

However the coins fall, 2017 is the Chinese Year of the Rooster which begins on January 28th. The Rooster is the sign of dawn and awakening, but it also means that triumph can only be achieved at the price of hard work.

Chinese Feng Shui Master and Astrologist Dong Yilin says many countries will face huge challenges with their economies.

"In the year of rooster, the Heavenly Stem (in Yi Qing) is fire and the Earthly Branch is gold and they are struggling with each other. It's like a process of burning gold and beating it into a craftwork. The craftwork is beautiful but it has to go through enormous hardships. Therefore, in the year of 2017, we will see many "turmoils" not only in China but also many other parts of the world like the Europe and the US."

One thing's for certain, a busy 2017 awaits whatever way the compass points.

====

Clients are reminded:

(i) to check the terms of their licence agreements for use of content outside news programming and that further advice and assistance can be obtained from the AP Archive on: Tel +44 (0) 20 7482 7482 Email: info@aparchive.com.

(ii) they should check with the applicable collecting society in their Territory regarding the clearance of any sound recording or performance included within the AP Television News service

(iii) they have editorial responsibility for the use of all and any content included within the AP Television News service and for libel, privacy, compliance and third party rights applicable to their Territory.